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SEPTEMBER 2017 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS

The Department of State has just issued the September 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the final Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017.  This blog post analyzes this month’s Visa Bulletin.


NOTE: Please be sure to read our Post, “What does the August Visa Bulletin Mean?”

September 2017 Visa Bulletin

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL’PNES    
EB-1
C
01JAN12
01JAN12 
C
C
EB-2
01JAN16
15MAY13
22AUG08 
01JAN16
01JAN16
EB-3
01JAN12
15OCT06 

01NOV15       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The slight retrogression is temporary and will revert back to Current in October 2017.  The EB-3 progression has long been effectively current, and is, in fact, current in this Bulletin.

China (mainland-born):   The DOS instituted a retrogression for China EB-1 with the June Visa Bulletin, which remains.  The continued high level of demand for EB-1 numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for June. It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 

The China EB-2 date again moved up, by about one month. The DOS recently noted that there has been an extremely large increase in EB-3s during the past month. The China EB-3 date remains at January 2012, which is where it was in July.  It is now slower than China EB-2. 

India:  As with China, India EB-1 now is retrogressed.  It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 


EB-2 India moved ahead by a month.  EB-3 India jumped into late 2006, which was a pleasant surprise.  The DOS is clearly trying to ensure that all visa numbers are used in FY2016. 


Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead to November 2015!  This is yet another incredible  progression.   The Philippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all of the 2010 through 2015 EB-3 visas in less than one year.  This is even more positive than we expected.  

Our internal metrics see the Philippine EB-3 number continuing to progress at a rapid clip for the rest of 2017.


The retrogression of the EB-2 (Phils) number is nothing to be concerned about.  It will return to Current in October 2017.  Note that all EB-2s retrogressed, which reflects heavier demand than usual in the entirety of the EB-2 category.  

CINCINNATI IMMIGRATION CONFERENCE

Musillo Unkenholt Immigration Lawis hosting a live in-person conference for business professionals in the Greater Cincinnatiarea on the topics of H-1Bs and immigration under the Trump Administration.
This Cincinnati Immigration Seminarwill feature these topics:
  • ·        Business Immigration visas: H-1B, L-1, TN, OPT,F-1
  • ·        Business Immigration Green Cards: PERM, I-140,I-485
  • ·        Entrepreneur and investor options: EB-5, E-1,E-2
  • ·        Immigration Compliance: I-9s, E-Verify, PublicAccess Files
  • ·        Impact of Pres. Trump’s policies on businessimmigration
  • ·        Legislative and Regulatory changes that may beon the horizon

The conversation will be led byMU’s immigration lawyers who have a combined experience in immigration of overtwo decades.

The conference will begin at 8 AMand go to 10:30 AM. A courtesy continental breakfast will be provided at thebeginning of the event.

Parking is available underneath thehotel in their parking garage, as well as on the streets surrounding the hotel.
Please do not hesitate to contactus via email with any more questions you may have regarding the presentation orour services.

WHAT IS GOING ON WITH THE CONFIRMATION OF THE NEW USCIS DIRECTOR?

In April Pres. Trump nominated Lee Francis Cissna to be the Director of the USCIS. USCIS is a sub-agency of the Department of Homeland Security. USCIS is tasked with processing immigration applications and petitions. The Director normally reports directly to the Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security. Because it is such an important position, any nomination for USCIS Director requires confirmation by the Senate.

Three months have now passed since the Cissna nomination. Although the President has complained loudly about Senate Democrats holding up confirmations, that does not seem to be the case with Mr. Cissna’s nomination. 

In mid-May, Pro Publica reported that Mr. Cissna had spent much of the last few years ghost-writing letters on behalf of Sen. Grassley (R-IA).  These letters were aimed at dismantling much of Pres. Obama’s immigration policies. On May 31, Mr. Cissna testified in front of the Senate Judiciary Committee.  Three hundred immigration stakeholders have since pushed the administration to withdraw Mr. Cissna’s nomination.

Mr. Cissna’s confirmation hold-up does not entirely appear to be about the Cissna policies raised by Pro Publica. In fact, the confirmation hold-up was a leverage play by Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC). Senate custom allows a single Senator to delay a 
confirmation

Why did Sen. Tills delay Cissna’s confirmation?  Sen. Tillis wanted an increase of H-2B visas, which are temporary visas used in seasonal occupations. North Carolina uses more H-2B visas than 47 other states, trailing only Texas and Colorado. In mid-July, the President caved into Sen. Tillis’ demands and released an additional 15,000 H-2B visas. Only then did Sen. Tillis agree to lift his hold on the confirmation.

Yet Mr. Cissna’s confirmation continues to sit. Right-wing media, who are fans of Mr. Cissna’s views, are ramping up the pressure on the GOP Senate to move forward.

Because the Cissna nomination is still stuck, questions remain: Is Mr. Cissna going to be confirmed before the August recess? Is his delay more about him or more about the Senate’s packed schedule? Will the forthcoming DHS Secretary withdraw Mr. Cissna and want to appoint his own candidate? We should know a lot between now and the recess.

REGISTER FOR MU HEALTHCARE IMMIGRATION WEBINAR ON AUGUST 1

MU Law is pleased to announce afree healthcare immigration webinar on August 1, 2017 at 3PM ET for all clientsand friend of the firm.  It is ideal for US employers, staffing companies,recruiters, and others interested in healthcare immigration.
 The Healthcare Immigration Seminarwill feature these topics:
  • Green card Immigration for Nursesand Physical Therapists (Schedule A occupations)
  • Filing for Green card when you havean Unanticipated Worksite
  • Visa Screens and Healthcare WorkerCertificates
  • FCCPT and the future of PTimmigration
  • H-1B visas for PTs, OTs, Med Techs,and other allied healthcare workers
  • Managing Social Security Numbersand Licensure
  • H-1B cap-exempt entities
  • Immigration under the Trumpadministration
  • Legislative and Regulatory changesthat may be on the horizon

PORTING AN I-485 TO A NEW EMPLOYER

Last year the USCIS issued newguidance regarding when a foreign national can port his/her I-485.  Under the American Competitiveness in theTwenty-First Century Act (AC21) a foreign national can change his/her employeror job during the green card process once the I-485 has been pending for 180day or more.

When changing positions, the greencard applicant and their new employer, must file a form I-485(j) with the USCISconfirming the new employer is taking over the green card case, agrees to paythe prevailing wage, and that the new position is the same or similar to theposition described in the green card application.

The USCIS will consider thetotality of the circumstances when determining if the green card job and thenew job are the same or similar.  Specifically,2016 memo describes how Immigration Officers can review the occupation codesassigned to both jobs by the Department of Labor when determining if the twojobs are the same or similar.

Evidence that the positions are thesame or similar can include:
  • ·        The job duties of both positions;
  • ·        The skills, expertise, education, training,licenses or certifications specifically required to perform each job;
  • ·        The wages offered for each job; and
  • ·        Any other material and credible evidencerelevant to the determination.

Green card applicants can also porttheir I-485s when, in their new position, they are primarily responsible formanaging the same or similar function of their original job.  For example, if a PT is promoted to Senior PTand supervises other PTs and PTAs.  It isalso acceptable for the applicant to manage workers in a different occupationif the change in position is a normal career progression.  For instance, if an OT is promoted to RehabManager, the OT may be supervising other OTs as well as OTAs, PTs, PTAs, SLPs,and others.

VISA BULLETIN PROJECTIONS FOR THE REST OF 2017

The Department of State’s Visa Bulletin guru, Charlie Oppenheim, hosts monthly meetings with the American Immigration Lawyers Association.  Charlie Oppenheim is the Department of State’s Chief of the Control and Reporting Division. He is the officer who is responsible for producing the Visa Bulletin each month.
This month’s Check In With Charlie featured projections for EB2 and EB3, which are the most popular categories for readers of this Blog.  Here are some of this month’s highlights, along with our analysis:
EB-2 Worldwide.  Although there may be a retrogression in September, the Worldwide EB-2 should return to current in October and remain there for the rest of this calendar year.

EB-2 India.  This category is expected to use the full allotment of visas in September, which may result in the category becoming temporarily unavailable.  It should have a July 2008 date in October 2017.

EB-3 Worldwide.  This category will remain current or close to current for the foreseeable future.

EB-3 India.  This category will advance several months in September 2017.  However, because of expected demand in FY 2018 for EB-3 Worldwide, we will not see fast progress after October 2017.  India EB-3 benefited in FY 2017 because demand for Worldwide EB-3 was light, resulting in Worldwide EB-3 numbers spilling into India EB-3.

EB-3 Philippines.  In FY 2018, we will not see this category move nearly as fast as it did in FY 2017. We will have a better idea of where Phils EB-3 is headed with the publication of the October 2017 Visa Bulletin, which is the first of FY 2018.

AUGUST 2017 VISA BULLETIN: ANALYSIS

The Department of State has just issued the August 2017 Visa Bulletin.  This is the eleventh Visa Bulletin of Fiscal Year 2017.  This blog post analyzes this month’s Visa Bulletin.


NOTE: Please be sure to read our Post, “What does the August Visa Bulletin Mean?”

August 2017 Visa Bulletin

Applications with these dates may be approved for their Green Card (Permanent Residency card).

EB 
Class 
All Other  
CHINA       
INDIA     
MEXICO   
PHIL’PNES    
EB-1
C
01JAN12
01JAN12 
C
C
EB-2
01APR15
22APR13
22JUL08 
01APR15
01APR15
EB-3
01JAN12
15JUL06 

01JUN15       


MU Law Analysis

All Other:  The EB-2 has been current for many years.  The slight retrogression is temporary and will revert back to Current in October 2017.  The EB-3 progression has long been effectively current, and is, in fact, current in August.

China (mainland-born):   The DOS instituted a retrogression for China EB-1 with the June Visa Bulletin, which remains.  The continued high level of demand for EB-1 numbers for USCIS adjustment of status applicants has required the establishment of a date for June. It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 

The China EB-2 date again moved up, by one month.  The DOS notes that there has been an extremely large increase in EB-3s during the past month. The China EB-3 date remains at January 2012, which is where it was in July.  It is now slower than China EB-2. 

India:  As with China, India EB-1 now is retrogressed.  It is expected that this EB-1 retrogression will last until October 2017. 


EB-2 India held steady.  EB-3 India jumped into 2006, last month, which was a pleasant surprise.  It moved up again, this time into mid-2006.  The DOS is clearly trying to ensure that all visa numbers are used in FY2016. 


Mexico: Mirrors All Other in all aspects.

Philippines: EB-3 moved ahead one full year!  This is the second straight one year progression.   The Philippine EB-3 number essentially cleaned out all of the 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and half of 2015 EB-3 visas in less than one year.  This is even more positive than we expected.  

Our internal metrics see the Philippine EB-3 number continuing to progress at a rapid clip for the rest of 2017.


The retrogression of the EB-2 (Phils) number is nothing to be concerned about.  It will return to Current in October 2017.  Note that all EB-2s retrogressed, which reflects heavier demand than usual in the entirety of the EB-2 category.  

POST H-1B CAP 2017 & TRUMP ADMINISTRATION WEBINAR

______________________________________________________________________________________________
Comejoin us as MU Law explores the latest legal topics on the H-1B Cap 2017 &the Trump Administration by hosting a free educational webinar
Who’s Invited?
Clients& Friends
When?
June29, 2017 @ 3PM / 12PM PT
Where? 
TheWebinar will take place on Livestorm.co 
Please click the link below to register
Pleaseregister for the conference at Livestorm.co
Youwill be provided a link for the event once registered! 
______________________________________________________________________________________________
Thisyear, the H-1B cap was reached in the first week with approximately 199,000petition filings. Our webinar will feature in a range of topics including:
Alternatives for employees not chosen in this year’s CAP;Preparing your employee for the consulate interview; H-1B Dependency Rule &Issues with staffing companies; H1-B Amendments; Site Visits, and more.
Thewebinar will also have a special update on the new Trump Administration. MULaw’s Chris Musillo, who has recently traveled to Washington DC, will providean update on what potential changes will be coming to employment-basedimmigration considering the new administration and recently issues memos.
Thewebinar will last for approximately 90 minutes, including a liveQ&A session at the end.
We hope to see you there! 
______________________________________________________________________________________________
Formore information on the agenda of the webinar, please see below. Thank you.
  1. H-1B Cap 
    • Alternatives for employees not chosen in this year’s CAP
    • Preparing your employee for the consulate interview
    • On-boarding an employee
  2. H-1Bs in 2017
    • H-1B Dependency Rule (LCA & 50/50 rule) 
    • H-1B issues for Staffing Companies and Third-Party Placements
      • What is Third-Party Placement v. In-House work?
    • March 31, 2017 Computer Programmer Memo
      • Rescinds the December 22, 2000 Terry Way memo issues to the Nebraska Service Center 
      • Implications for future H-1B filings 
    • H-1B Amendments 
      • Short Term Placement Rule (30-day rule)
      • Amendment pending but employee is now moving to new work site. What is the Employer’s strategy? 
      • Employee is still abroad but work site changes
      • Pending H-1B CAP case but the assignment no longer exists 
    • Site visits
      • How can the Employer prepare for a site visit? 
      • How can you prepare your employee for a site visit? 
  3. Immigration in the era of the Trump Administration
    • Traveling and Consular Process
    • Potential regulatory changes 
    • Potential legislative changes 
  4. Q&A

VISA BULLETIN UPDATE: PHILS EB-3 SHOULD ADVANCE INTO 2015

The Department of State’s VisaBulletin guru, Charlie Oppenheim, hosts monthlymeetings with the American Immigration Lawyers Association.  Charlie Oppenheim is the Department of State’sChief of the Control and Reporting Division. He is the officer who isresponsible for producing the Visa Bulletin each month.
This month’s Check In With Charliefeatured predictions about EB2 and EB3, which are the most popular categoriesfor readers of this Blog.  Here are someof this month’s highlights:
Philippine EB-3:  Charlieexpects to aggressively move this category into mid/late 2015 before the end ofthe fiscal year (September 30, 2017).  MULaw believes that the category will continue to be positive, although we do notexpect that the significant progression will continue once the Visa Bulletin afterthe fiscal year, because demand for Philippine EB-3 was heavy in 2016.  Having said that, we do expect continuedsteady movement forward.
Worldwide EB-3:  Thiscategory should continue to be effectively current, with a retrogression ofonly a few weeks/months.
India EB-2:  Charlie expectsminimal movement forward.  Charlie claimsthat 40 percent of the India EB-2 demand is from India EB-3 upgrades.
India EB-3.  This number will be aggressive advanced becauseWorldwide EB-3 demand has slowed.  As amatter of process, unused Worldwide EB-3 numbers spill into the slowest EB-3category (India).
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