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WHAT THE LACK OF H-1B FILINGS REALLY MEANS

This year a mere 9,200 cap-subject H-1B Petitions have been filed through April 29. In prior years we have seen many more H-1B cases accepted as slots were available; in the go-go years of the 2000s, the H-1B cap was reached on the first day.

This year’s paucity of H-1B Petitions provides compelling evidence against the argument that internationally-trained workers are being used to displace American workers and lower US workers’ salaries. That argument just does not jibe with what is actually happening.

If H-1B visa labor was being used primarily to lower US workers salaries, the H-1B filing numbers wouldn’t be impacted to any meaningful degree. Why? Because the incentive to reduce workers’ salaries is likely greater in a recessed economy, not less. This logic is straightforward.

Yet, this year we’ve seen a dramatic downtick in H-1B visas filed in industries like Information Technology and Finance. Meanwhile industries with continued staffing shortages, such as healthcare and teaching, continued to file H-1B Petitions. If the H-1B program was being used to lower salaries, why aren’t the IT and financial industries continuing to file H-1B petitions? Are these industries not interested in cutting costs?

Critics of the H-1B system fail to acknowledge just how well the system actually works. In robust times, the H-1B system allows growing companies to attract more workers from overseas when they can’t fill those jobs with US workers. In down times, when jobs are few, the market does what it is supposed to do and fewer H-1B job offers are made.

If Congress really wants to reform the H-1B process, it ought to eliminate the arbitrary quota and just let the market sort out the numbers question. Congress also ought to give non-bachelor degree occupations with well-documented staffing shortages, such as nursing, access to the H-1B program.

H-1 CAP MOVES SLOWLY

The Fiscal Year 2012 (FY2012) H-1B cap season began on April 1, 2011. Since April 1, a mere 8,000 H-1B cap-subject Petitions have been receipted by USCIS. This is much lower than in recent years and likely reflects the fact that while the US economy has improved in the recent months, it is not nearly as robust as it was in the middle part of the last decade.

The USCIS has receipted in about 6,000 Masters Cap H-1B Petitions. To put this in perspective, in FY 2011, which began April 1, 2010, the USCIS has receipted about 20,000 H-1Bs through May 1, 2010. In FY 2009, there was about 40,000 H-1Bs receipted in by USCIS through May 1, 2009. For the prior three fiscal years (FY 2006-08), the H-1B cap was reached on the very first day of filing.

Many healthcare professions ordinarily qualify for H-1B status, including Physical Therapists, Occupational Therapists, Speech Language Therapists, and some Registered Nursing positions.

For three years the H-1B demand has decreased. This should put paid to the idea that H-1B workers are used to drive down US worker’s wages. If H-1B workers were used to drive down wages, H-1B demand would remain consistent in a decreasing economy.


BLS: HEALTHCARE JOBS STILL GROWING

The latest US Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Situation Summary says that although US unemployment rate is still at 8.8%, jobs are still plentiful in healthcare. Since November, many Americans have found jobs. The unemployment rate has tumbled from the November high of nearly 10%.

Health care employment continued to increase in March (+37,000 jobs). Over the last 12 months, health care has added 283,000 jobs, or an average of 24,000 jobs per month. The conclusion remains the same for employers in this sector as it has for the previous 20+ years: internationally-trained staff will remain a significant part of the US healthcare workforce.

PRES. OBAMA HOLDS IMMIGRATION MEETING


With President Obama’s re-election campaign beginning in earnest, he is anxious to court immigration-friendly voters. These voters tend to live in important states such as Florida, Texas, and California. The President is far from a sure thing to be re-elected. The President’s greatest “strength” right now, is the lack of compelling Republican challenger.

In order to burnish his credibility with these pro-immigration voters who could sway a tight election, the President yesterday met with high-profile immigration-friendly people, such as Arnold Schwarzenegger, New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, and San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro, all who have called on the President to lead on immigration reform.

Unfortunately, no serious analysts believe that the President is doing anything other than paying lip-service to immigration reform, despite needed visa liberalization in shortage occupations, such as Physical Therapy, Occupational Therapy and Registered Nursing.

MAY 2011 VISA BULLETIN

The Department of State has just released the May 2011 Visa Bulletin. This Visa Bulletin had small progress in several classifications. Notably, the India EB-2 date moved two months.
May 2011 Visa Bulletin
All Other Countries China India Mexico
EB-2 Current 01AUG06 01JUL06 Current
EB-3 22AUG05 15APR04 15APR02 08SEP04

The Bulletin also included a lengthy explanation and prediction of future month’s expected dates:

Employment-based: At this time the amount of demand being received in the Employment First preference is extremely low compared with that of recent years. Absent an immediate and dramatic increase in demand, this category will remain “Current” for all countries. It also appears unlikely that a Second preference cut-off date will be imposed for any countries other than China and India, where demand is extremely high. Based on current indications of demand, the best case scenarios for cut-off date movement each month during the coming months are as follows:

Employment Second: Demand by applicants who are “upgrading” their status from Employment Third to Employment Second preference is very high, but the exact amount is not known. Such “upgrades” are in addition to the known demand already reported, and make it very difficult to predict ultimate demand based on forward movement of the China and India cut-off dates. While thousands of “otherwise unused” numbers will be available for potential use without regard to the China and India Employment Second preference per-country annual limits, it is not known how the “upgrades” will ultimately impact the cut-offs for those two countries. (The allocation of “otherwise unused” numbers is discussed below.)

China: none to three weeks expected through July. No August or September estimate is possible at this time.

India: One or more weeks, possibly followed by additional movement if demand remains stable. No August or September estimate is possible at this time.

Employment Third:

Worldwide: three to six weeks
China: one to three weeks
India: none to two weeks
Mexico: although continued forward movement is expected, no specific projections are possible at this time.
Philippines: three to six weeks

Please be advised that the above ranges are estimates based upon the current demand patterns, and are subject to fluctuations during the coming months. The cut-off dates for upcoming months cannot be guaranteed, and no assumptions should be made until the formal dates are announced.

US ENVOY TO PN NURSES: “BE GREAT”

“Dare to be great nurses… Dare to build a better Philippines and a better America.” This was US Envoy to the Philippines Henry Thomas’ challenge to the graduating class of Angeles University Foundation’s College of Nursing on Saturday.

While his challenge was clear, his views on the likelihood of the retrogression were less so. “All I can say is, clearly, there’s a demand in the US but also, as President Obama has said, we have nursing graduates in the US who also have to finish their examinations and obtain jobs.”

This wishy-washy statement perfectly captured President Obama’s inconsistency and lack of focus on the necessity of alleviating the retrogression. On one hand, the President has said many of the right things on making an immigration system that is fair to all – American patients, American healthcare staff, and foreign-trained healthcare staff. On the other hand, his lack of action and lack of leadership has frustrated all stakeholders.

FOREIGN AFFAIRS MANUAL UPDATED

The Department of State has updated their Foreign Affairs Manual (FAM) to reflect the fact that B1/B2 applicants ought to be given visas to come to the US to take the NPTE. MU encourages all B1/B2 applicants who had been denied B1/B2 visas for this reason to re-apply for a B1/B2 interview.

As we mentioned in our last MU update, all applicants will still need to prove non-immigrant intent, i.e. that the applicant maintains a non-US residency and intends to leave the US at the conclusion of their visit to the US. Failure to prove nonimmigrant intent remains a valid reason for the Consular/Embassy official to deny the B1/B2 application.


Updated FAM:

9 FAM 41.53 N4.1 General Licensure Requirement for H Nonimmigrant

(CT:VISA-1635; 03-31-2011)

The requirements for classification as an H-1B nonimmigrant professional

may or may not include a license because States have different rules in this

area. If a State permits aliens to enter the United States as a visitor to take

a licensing exam, then USCIS will generally require a license before they will

approve the H-1B petition. However, some States do not permit aliens to

take licensing exams until they enter the United States in H-1B status and

obtain a social security number. Therefore, a visa should not be denied

based solely on the fact that the applicant does not already hold a license to

practice in the United States.

B1/B2 VISAS SHOULD BE AVAILABLE TO NPTE REGISTRANTS

As many MU friends and clients are aware, US Embassies have been denying PT applicants a B1/B2 visa, if the applicant has sought to come to the US to sit for the NPTE. The denials have been based on the Embassy mistakenly belief that taking the licensing exam is not a valid reason to enter the US on a B1/B2.

MU just has learned the Department of State’s HQ office in Washington DC is in the process of issuing a revised Guidance to the US Embassies, including Manila. The Guidance should correct this mistaken policy.

Please keep in mind that all applicants will still need to prove non-immigrant intent, i.e. that the applicant maintains a non-US residency and intends to leave the US at the conclusion of their visit to the US.

INDIA EB-2 SHOULD LEAP FORWARD

The Department of State has told AILA that because of decreasing demand for EB-1 visa numbers, the EB-2 category will be given at least 12,000 additional visa numbers. The 12,000 numbers will largely be given to Indian EB-2 applicants. EB-2 Chinese natives may also be positively impacted by this news.

The May 2011 Visa Bulletin, which should be released in mid-April 2011, should reflect this news.

The EB-2 category is appropriate for positions that require a Masters Degree or a Bachelors Degree and five years of progressive experience and typically includes Doctors, Physical Therapists, Occupational Therapists, and other professions that require advanced degrees.

FEWER NURSES MEANS GREATER RISK OF DEATH

Sometime in 2011, Congress may wish to revisit the US’ immigration policy. MU has consistently called on Congress to raise the artificial limits on true shortage occupations, such as Registered Nursing. At present, it takes a fully-qualified foreign-trained Registered Nurse about six years to obtain an immigrant visa. These nurses pass identical licensing exams to US nurses. They also must pass English fluency exams.

The Department of Labor continues to point to nursing as one of the occupations in the shortest supply.

Now, comes a March 17, 2011 New England Journal of Medicine research paper confirming that Fewer Nurses Means a Higher Risk of Death. The study, authored by well known researchers such as Dr. Peter Buerhaus, cites hundreds of thousands of admissions and nurse work shifts. The researchers found that a patient’s risk of death increased by about two percent for each work shift that was what the researchers categorized as understaffed.

The study was also subject of a recent Scientific American podcast, which is freely available for download.

The US’ immigration policy is woeful on so many fronts, but liberalized nurse visa rules should be a simple one to fix because the benefits to Americans would be enormous.

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